Erling Haaland of Manchester City in action during the UEFA Champions League 2024/25 League Phase MD5 match between Manchester City and Feyenoord at City of Manchester Stadium on November 26, 2024 in Manchester, England.
Erling Haaland. Record breaker?(Image credit: Joe Prior/Visionhaus via Getty Images)

Its easy to forget that 260 is an absurd number of goals for a Premier League striker to have scored. Only Alan Shearer has done it, giving goalkeepers nightmare for Blackburn Rovers and Newcastle United.

Manchester City marksman Erling Haaland is even more prolific and the announcement of a new City contract that will keep him at the Etihad Stadium for another decade has put the Premier League record firmly in his sights.

Harry Kane is second in the Premier League scorer ranks but is 47 goals shy of the record and now plays outside the Premier League. Mohamed Salah is the only other active player in the top ten. The 32-year-old is 85 goals behind Shearer and the possibility of his departure from Liverpool remains.

Erling Haalands Project 261

Haaland is a different story. If his phenomenal scoring rate were to continue, hed be expected to blow right past Shearers record long before the end of his new Man City deal.

Shearer scored 260 times in 441 Premier League games over 14 seasons. Haaland currently has 79 goals from 87 games in 2.5 seasons, a rate of 0.9 goals per game. At an average of 34.8 appearances per season, thats 31.3 goals per season in his City career to date.

Haaland will slow down. Surely Haaland will slow down. His scoring rate in the Premier League so far would see him reach the end of the 2033/34 season on a frankly ridiculous 375 goals.

With a ratio of 0.9 goals per game, the 24-year-old Norwegian might reasonably be expected to beat Shearers record in the early part of the 2030/31 season. Thats even if he missed matches at the current rate too. Not bad.

City manager Pep Guardiola believes that the length of Haalands new deal, itself a Premier League record, demonstrates that the player trusts the club with his future.

When one player decides to sign this type of contract, it is because he wants to show how desperate he is to be here, said Guardiola.

He settled perfectly, continued the manager. He loves the club and the people hes around. He loves the Premier League. He is here with his wife and his father and has decided there is no better place to be in the next 10 years.

Only Salah has scored more Premier League goals than Haaland this season, even as City have struggled to find their usual form.

If theyre in need of a boost, they dont get bigger than this.

Chris is a freelance writer and the author of the High Protein Beef Paste football newsletter. He's based in Warwickshire and is the Head of Media for Coventry Sphinx.


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